Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4934 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow

WN 4934 · BNA → MSP

departs 10:38 PM CT · arrives 12:47 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 38h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 10pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.83 in

MSP (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4934 · BNA → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?