tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1802 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1802 · SAN → MIA

departs 9:28 PM PT · arrives 5:23 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 62h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
20% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 7.0d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    78%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.