tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2427 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2427 · MIA → PHX

departs 10:14 PM ET · arrives 1:13 AM MT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
31% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.9d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

  1. On time or early
    68%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.