tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3174 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 3174 · MIA → MCO

departs 10:41 PM ET · arrives 11:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 70h before departure
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
41% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.9d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MCO?

  1. On time or early
    58%
  2. 15–30 min late
    15%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    15%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.