PT 5962 · JAN → CLT

took off 11:45 AM CT · landed 2:08 PM ET (scheduled 10:45 AM CT → 1:38 PM ET)

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±5 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↓ 10am departures from JAN are usually not late

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

JAN (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling6,960 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

CLT (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling3,072 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5962 · JAN → CLT

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLT?