PT 5962 · JAN → CLT

departs 10:45 AM CT · arrives 1:35 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at CLT that day

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JAN

↓ 10am departures from JAN are usually not late

Weather at each end

JAN (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5962 · JAN → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?