DL 1855 · JFK → STI

took off 4:20 PM ET · landed 8:18 PM AST (scheduled 3:20 PM ET → 8:05 PM AST)

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at STI more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to STI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from JFK are often late

↑ JFK is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STI

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

STI (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1855 · JFK → STI

Odds over time

How late did it get to STI?