Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2461 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 9 Yesterday

DL 2461 · ATL → DAY

departs 2:04 PM ET · arrives 3:40 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at DAY more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DAY?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into DAY at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAY

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

DAY (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2461 · ATL → DAY

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAY?