DL 2895 · EWR → MSP

departs 3:00 PM ET · arrives 5:08 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±4 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 3pm departures from EWR are often late

↑ Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2895 · EWR → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?