OO 5026 · ORD → JST

took off 11:30 PM CT · landed 1:35 AM ET (scheduled 9:50 PM CT → 12:45 AM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at JST more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to JST?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ 9pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ JST usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

JST (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5026 · ORD → JST

Odds over time

How late did it get to JST?