UA 2299 · LGA → ORD

departs 5:28 PM ET · arrives 7:03 PM CT

Your aircraft is N17296 (B38M), coming in as UA 2189 from ORD: landed 3:59 PM ET.

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±0 pts +26 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 49% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ 5pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

ORD (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2299 · LGA → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?