Schedule: FAA flight plans.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1851
IN THE AIR (OFF 3:21 PM PT, ETA 10:09 PM ET)
Today
AA 1851 · LAS → MIA
took off 3:21 PM PT · expected to land 10:09 PM ET (scheduled 12:48 PM PT → 8:29 PM ET)
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
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How late will it get to MIA?
LIVE
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On time or early
0%
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15–30 min late
0%
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30 min–1 hour late
0%
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1–2 hours late
85%
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Over 2 hours late
15%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.