Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1789
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
DL 1789 · MIA → HAV
departs 1:54 PM ET · arrives 3:13 PM CST
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 25%
Fri 11/13 23%
Sat 11/14 25%
Sun 11/15 26%
Mon 11/16 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at HAV more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HAV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at HAV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HAV?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1pm departures from MIA are often late
↑
MIA is busy at that time
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into HAV at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
HAV (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.