Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5251
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
OO 5251 · DCA → ORD
departs 8:05 PM ET · arrives 9:14 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 47%
Fri 11/13 38%
Sat 11/14 38%
Sun 11/15 52%
Mon 11/16 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.