Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 375 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow

AA 375 · LGA → CLT

departs 2:31 PM ET · arrives 4:22 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±12 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 2pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at CLT that day

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.56 in

CLT (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 375 · LGA → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?