Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 375 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13

AA 375 · LGA → CLT

departs 2:30 PM ET · arrives 4:22 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 54h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±12 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 2pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ LGA is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip0.39 in

CLT (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 375 · LGA → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?