Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2594
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
DL 2594 · MSP → PHL
departs 2:25 PM CT · arrives 6:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 17%
Sat 11/14 20%
Sun 11/15 34%
Mon 11/16 20%
Tue 11/17 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±3 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,400 ft forecast at PHL that day
↑
Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late
↑
PHL is prone to delays
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHL (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.