UA 1144 · EWR → MSP

departs 2:01 PM ET · arrives 3:55 PM CT

Your aircraft is N37354 (B38M), coming in as UA 1391 from DJT: landed 1:02 PM ET.

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts −25 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 2pm departures from EWR are often late

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

MSP (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1144 · EWR → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?