Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1773 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12

UA 1773 · ORD → MIA

departs 2:28 PM CT · arrives 6:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±11 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↓ Other factors

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

MIA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1773 · ORD → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?