Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1773 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13 Tomorrow

UA 1773 · ORD → MIA

departs 2:29 PM CT · arrives 6:37 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±4 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

MIA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1773 · ORD → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?