Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1544
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
WN 1544 · DCA → PVD
departs 5:32 PM ET · arrives 7:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 48%
Sun 11/15 40%
Mon 11/16 33%
Tue 11/17 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±5 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at PVD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PVD?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from DCA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
PVD usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
PVD (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.29 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.