Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1544
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 1544 · DCA → PVD
departs 5:34 PM ET · arrives 7:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 11/12 53%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 40%
Mon 11/16 33%
Tue 11/17 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at PVD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PVD?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from DCA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
PVD usually runs smoothly
↓
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at DCA that day
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
PVD (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1.66667 mi Precip 0.34 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.