Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2715
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
WN 2715 · MIA → MCI
departs 3:06 PM ET · arrives 5:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 41%
Sat 11/14 35%
Sun 11/15 36%
Mon 11/16 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±4 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from MIA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.