Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1886
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
DL 1886 · SNA → SLC
departs 1:22 PM PT · arrives 4:18 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 20%
Sun 11/15 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at SNA that day
↑
SNA is prone to delays
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↓
This flight has been late 13% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
Weather at each end
SNA (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.28 in
SLC (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.