Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1886
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
DL 1886 · SNA → SLC
departs 1:22 PM PT · arrives 4:25 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Fri 11/13 28%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
SNA is prone to delays
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
This flight has been late 13% of the time recently
Weather at each end
SNA (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.13 in
SLC (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.