WN 1199 · MKE → DCA

took off 9:17 PM CT · landed 11:41 PM ET (scheduled 5:45 PM CT → 8:55 PM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DCA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
✓

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ MKE usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MKE (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1199 · MKE → DCA

Odds over time

How late did it get to DCA?