Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 915 IN THE AIR (OFF 7:15 PM ET, ETA 10:21 PM -05)
Today

AA 915 · MIA → BOG

took off 7:15 PM ET · expected to land 10:21 PM -05 (scheduled 6:38 PM ET → 10:24 PM -05)
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at BOG more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BOG?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    85%
  2. 15–30 min late
    15%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.