DL 2963 · DCA → MSP

took off 8:13 PM ET · landed 9:27 PM CT (scheduled 6:59 PM ET → 8:52 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MSP?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DCA that day

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2963 · DCA → MSP

Odds over time

How late did it get to MSP?