OO 3690 · SEA → MFR

took off 12:45 PM PT · landed 1:54 PM PT (scheduled 11:15 AM PT → 12:51 PM PT)

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MFR?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from SEA are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MFR

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling4,167 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

MFR (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3690 · SEA → MFR

Odds over time

How late did it get to MFR?