Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3690
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 17
OO 3690 · SEA → MFR
departs 11:14 AM PT · arrives 12:51 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Sun 11/15 26%
Mon 11/16 20%
Tue 11/17
Wed 11/18 19%
Thu 11/19 21%
Fri 11/20 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at MFR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MFR?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
11am departures from SEA are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0 mi forecast at MFR that day
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MFR (destination)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.1 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.