Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3690
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
OO 3690 · SEA → MFR
departs 11:15 AM PT · arrives 12:50 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Sun 11/15 26%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 27%
Wed 11/18 19%
Thu 11/19 21%
Fri 11/20 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at MFR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MFR?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0 mi forecast at MFR that day
↑
11am departures from SEA are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 3,733 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
MFR (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.