AA 1646 · DCA → CHS

departs 8:52 PM ET · arrives 10:51 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHS?

On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CHS

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CHS (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1646 · DCA → CHS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHS?