Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1620 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow

DL 1620 · LGA → MIA

departs 5:50 PM ET · arrives 9:21 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1620 · LGA → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?