Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1620
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
DL 1620 · LGA → MIA
departs 5:50 PM ET · arrives 9:21 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Sun 11/15 33%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 35%
Wed 11/18 35%
Thu 11/19 33%
Fri 11/20 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MIA (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.