tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 11:46 am at Atlanta); 2 already left
Sunday, October 4 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 17:55, is the safest bet: 77% chance of reaching Bozeman on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 52% of the time.

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Bozeman on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 2 h behind Atlanta). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → ATL 17:55 → SLC 19:56DL 653 3h 09m Salt Lake City SLC 23:05 → BZN 00:23 +1DL 2046 8h 28m 98% 77%
DeltaDetails → ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663 3h 30m Salt Lake City SLC 17:20 → BZN 18:44DL 3676 · flown by SkyWest 8h 48m 98% 76%
SouthwestDetails → ATL 13:10 → DEN 14:15WN 202 1h 40m Denver DEN 15:55 → BZN 17:44WN 4530 6h 34m 100% 73%
UnitedDetails → ATL 13:18 → ORD 14:41UA 745 2h 04m Chicago ORD 16:45 → BZN 19:03UA 1920 7h 45m 90% 70%
DeltaDetails → ATL 14:38 → SEA 16:49DL 481 3h 10m Seattle SEA 19:59 → BZN 22:49DL 4039 · flown by SkyWest 10h 11m 98% 67%
AlaskaDetails → ATL 16:18 → SEA 18:46AS 218 1h 54m Seattle SEA 20:40 → BZN 23:19AS 458 9h 01m 88% 62%
AmericanDetails → ATL 13:39 → DFW 15:10AA 1358 3h 20m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:30 → BZN 20:39AA 1774 9h 00m 92% 50%
SouthwestDetails → ATL 17:15 → DEN 18:35WN 3002 2h 35m Denver DEN 21:10 → BZN 23:00WN 1505 7h 45m 85% 45%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → ATL 16:22 → DEN 18:08UA 235 1h 17m Denver DEN 19:25 → BZN 21:14UA 1347 6h 52m 66% 40%
DeltaDetails → ATL 16:45 → SEA 19:05DL 472 54m Seattle SEA 19:59 → BZN 22:49DL 4039 · flown by SkyWest 8h 04m 52% 36%
AmericanDetails → ATL 15:02 → DFW 16:35AA 1386 1h 55m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:30 → BZN 20:39AA 1774 7h 37m 62% 34%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 4 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON