Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 35 nonstops
Tomorrow: DL 5710 at 06:00 is the safest bet, 5% chance of being 15+ min late; evening flights run 18–46%.
Against a calm day
23%
average chance a nonstop arrives 15+ min late; 16% for the same flights on a calm-weather day
Every nonstop on Mon, Oct 5
12-month record →Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late, with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort.
| DL 5710 Delta flown by Republic Flight history → | DCA 06:00 | BOS 07:45 | 5% | 2% | 0.8% | 93% |
| DL 5698 Delta flown by Republic Flight history → | DCA 06:59 | BOS 08:41 | 6% | 2% | 0.7% | 92% |
| YX 4789 Republic | DCA 06:24 | BOS 08:17 | 6% | 3% | 0.8% | no record |
| AA 1550 American Flight history → | DCA 06:00 | BOS 07:39 | 8% | 3% | 1.3% | 97% |
| AA 1605 American Flight history → | DCA 06:55 | BOS 08:34 | 10% | 3% | 1.2% | 98% |
| AA 4691 American flown by Republic Flight history → | DCA 09:41 | BOS 11:25 | 11% | 3% | 0.7% | 89% |
| DL 5687 Delta flown by Republic Flight history → | DCA 08:29 | BOS 10:15 | 11% | 3% | 0.7% | 88% |
| DL 5611 Delta flown by Republic Flight history → | DCA 10:05 | BOS 11:48 | 11% | 3% | 0.7% | 85% |
| DL 5852 Delta flown by Republic Flight history → | DCA 10:14 | BOS 11:52 | 13% | 3% | 0.7% | 85% |
| AA 4505 American flown by Republic Flight history → | DCA 09:54 | BOS 11:46 | 13% | 3% | 0.7% | 82% |
| AA 3235 American | DCA 06:56 | BOS 08:30 | 13% | 4% | 1.2% | no record |
| DL 5693 Delta flown by Republic Flight history → | DCA 11:47 | BOS 13:27 | 14% | 4% | 0.7% | 84% |
| DL 5592 Delta flown by Republic Flight history → | DCA 12:55 | BOS 14:40 | 17% | 5% | 0.7% | 82% |
| AA 1164 American | DCA 07:57 | BOS 09:31 | 18% | 4% | 1.0% | no record |
| AA 4380 American flown by Republic Flight history → | DCA 12:59 | BOS 14:44 | 18% | 5% | 0.7% | 72% |
| DL 5633 Delta flown by Republic Flight history → | DCA 22:00 | BOS 23:42 | 18% | 7% | 0.8% | 67% |
| AA 4494 American flown by Republic Flight history → | DCA 12:56 | BOS 14:34 | 19% | 5% | 0.7% | 88% |
| B6 554 JetBlue Flight history → | DCA 08:44 | BOS 10:20 | 22% | 6% | 0.7% | 88%worse than usual |
| AA 4382 American flown by Republic Flight history → | DCA 20:59 | BOS 22:40 | 22% | 8% | 0.8% | 67% |
| AA 1582 American Flight history → | DCA 10:25 | BOS 11:58 | 22% | 6% | 0.9% | 77% |
| AA 1015 American Flight history → | DCA 10:27 | BOS 12:01 | 23% | 6% | 0.9% | 75% |
| DL 5600 Delta flown by Republic Flight history → | DCA 15:15 | BOS 17:02 | 26% | 10% | 0.7% | 61% |
| DL 5689 Delta flown by Republic Flight history → | DCA 18:30 | BOS 20:29 | 26% | 13% | 0.8% | 62% |
| AA 4051 American flown by Envoy Flight history → | DCA 22:30 | BOS 23:59 | 27% | 8% | 1.3% | 58% |
| B6 2454 JetBlue Flight history → | DCA 11:00 | BOS 12:35 | 30% | 11% | 0.7% | 82%worse than usual |
| DL 5839 Delta flown by Republic Flight history → | DCA 17:00 | BOS 18:54 | 31% | 13% | 0.8% | 50% |
| B6 754 JetBlue | DCA 12:19 | BOS 13:54 | 33% | 14% | 0.7% | no record |
| AA 1557 American Flight history → | DCA 14:59 | BOS 16:42 | 37% | 10% | 0.8% | 59% |
| B6 1254 JetBlue Flight history → | DCA 13:25 | BOS 14:59 | 39% | 17% | 0.7% | 68% |
| AA 945 American | DCA 14:56 | BOS 16:30 | 39% | 10% | 0.9% | no record |
| B6 1354 JetBlue Flight history → | DCA 14:25 | BOS 16:00 | 41% | 22% | 0.7% | 49% |
| AA 3207 American Flight history → | DCA 17:00 | BOS 18:47 | 41% | 14% | 0.9% | 43% |
| B6 1854 JetBlue Flight history → | DCA 19:59 | BOS 21:38 | 43% | 21% | 0.8% | 66% |
| B6 2754 JetBlue Flight history → | DCA 17:59 | BOS 19:41 | 46% | 26% | 0.8% | 50% |
| B6 2954 JetBlue Flight history → | DCA 17:00 | BOS 18:42 | 46% | 25% | 0.8% | 49% |
About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON