SFO aircraft turns back near normal: 2 of 34 departures in the next 90 min are tight

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1. Initial Observed Fri Oct 23, 10:58 AM PDT

   SFO: 10 of 32 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn

   Of the 51 departures scheduled from SFO (SFO) between 10:58 AM and 12:28 PM PDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 32. For 10 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into SFO is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 1 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.

   Evidence for this update

   Departures scheduled	10:58 AM–12:28 PM PDT · 51 departures, aircraft known for 32
   Tight turns	10 (31%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure
   Inbound not yet in	1 not taken off · 7 in the air
   Method	SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
   Tightest	F9 3382 to SAN at 11:11 AM: aircraft N377FR, inbound F9 1191 from PHX (airborne), -33 min to turn
   Tightest	AS 580 to SEA at 10:58 AM: aircraft N214AK, inbound AS 755 from SAN (airborne), -12 min to turn
   Tightest	OO 6035 to BOI at 11:27 AM: aircraft N617UX, inbound OO 5693 from SUN (airborne), -9 min to turn
   Tightest	WN 4325 to SAN at 12:04 PM: aircraft N9030S, inbound WN 2504 from LAX (not departed), -5 min to turn
   Tightest	AC 758 to YUL at 11:09 AM: aircraft CFHNB, inbound AC 562 from YVR (airborne), 1 min to turn
   Source event time	Fri Oct 23, 10:58 AM PDT
   Ingested	Fri Oct 23, 10:58 AM PDT
   Published here	Fri Oct 23, 10:58 AM PDT (2026-10-23 17:58 UTC)
   Sources	Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules
   Provenance	inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1

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2. Recovery Observed Fri Oct 23, 4:43 PM PDT

   SFO aircraft turns back near normal: 2 of 34 departures in the next 90 min are tight

   What changed: tight share 46% at worst → 6% now

   Of the 42 departures scheduled from SFO (SFO) between 4:43 PM and 6:13 PM PDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 34. For 2 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into SFO is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.

   Evidence for this update

   Departures scheduled	4:43 PM–6:13 PM PDT · 42 departures, aircraft known for 34
   Tight turns	2 (6%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure
   Inbound not yet in	0 not taken off · 1 in the air
   Method	SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
   Tightest	OO 5720 to BOI at 4:53 PM: aircraft N617UX, inbound OO 4661 from BOI (landed), 32 min to turn
   Tightest	OO 5627 to MRY at 5:28 PM: aircraft N947SW, inbound OO 4758 from MRY (airborne), 34 min to turn
   Source event time	Fri Oct 23, 4:43 PM PDT
   Ingested	Fri Oct 23, 4:43 PM PDT
   Published here	Fri Oct 23, 4:43 PM PDT (2026-10-23 23:43 UTC)
   Sources	Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules
   Provenance	inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1

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