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Observed Significant Resolved Inbound aircraft SAN departures

Fewer tight aircraft turns at San Diego: 9 of 22 departures in the next 90 min, still high

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
3
Create monitor View SANFlights at SAN

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    San Diego: 8 of 30 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn

    Of the 36 departures scheduled from San Diego (SAN) between 11:02 AM and 12:32 PM PDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 30. For 8 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into SAN is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 1 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.

    Evidence for this update
    Departures scheduled11:02 AM–12:32 PM PDT · 36 departures, aircraft known for 30
    Tight turns8 (27%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure
    Inbound not yet in1 not taken off · 5 in the air
    MethodSFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    TightestWN 4374 to DAL at 11:19 AM: aircraft N8782Q, inbound WN 4374 from SMF (airborne), -34 min to turn
    TightestWN 4240 to OAK at 12:03 PM: aircraft N8637A, inbound WN 4944 from OAK (not departed), -25 min to turn
    TightestWN 4965 to HOU at 11:08 AM: aircraft N8951S, inbound WN 3284 from PDX (landed), 15 min to turn
    TightestWN 4915 to SJC at 12:27 PM: aircraft N8797Q, inbound WN 2657 from MCI (airborne), 18 min to turn
    TightestWN 1252 to MDW at 11:55 AM: aircraft N8899H, inbound WN 1434 from PHX (airborne), 18 min to turn
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-26 18:02 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules
    Provenanceinbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    More tight aircraft turns at San Diego: 16 of 23 departures in the next 90 min

    What changed: tight share 27% → 70%

    Of the 33 departures scheduled from San Diego (SAN) between 1:14 PM and 2:44 PM PDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 23. For 16 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into SAN is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 2 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.

    Evidence for this update
    Departures scheduled1:14 PM–2:44 PM PDT · 33 departures, aircraft known for 23
    Tight turns16 (70%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure
    Inbound not yet in2 not taken off · 8 in the air
    MethodSFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    TightestWN 473 to SFO at 1:29 PM: aircraft N8866H, inbound WN 1647 from SFO (airborne), -8 min to turn
    TightestWN 652 to SMF at 1:49 PM: aircraft N964WN, inbound WN 652 from PHX (airborne), -6 min to turn
    TightestWN 1329 to DEN at 2:11 PM: aircraft N8513F, inbound WN 2939 from SMF (airborne), 8 min to turn
    TightestWS 1483 to YYC at 2:32 PM: aircraft CGJLZ, inbound WS 1482 from YYC (not departed), 12 min to turn
    TightestAS 432 to SJC at 1:15 PM: aircraft N816AK, inbound AS 740 from SFO (landed), 14 min to turn
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-26 20:14 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules
    Provenanceinbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. De-escalation Observed

    Fewer tight aircraft turns at San Diego: 9 of 22 departures in the next 90 min, still high

    What changed: tight share 70% → 41%

    Of the 30 departures scheduled from San Diego (SAN) between 1:35 PM and 3:05 PM PDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 22. For 9 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into SAN is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 1 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.

    Evidence for this update
    Departures scheduled1:35 PM–3:05 PM PDT · 30 departures, aircraft known for 22
    Tight turns9 (41%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure
    Inbound not yet in1 not taken off · 6 in the air
    MethodSFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    TightestF9 4578 to PHX at 1:55 PM: aircraft N385FR, inbound F9 3382 from SFO (airborne), -38 min to turn
    TightestWN 652 to SMF at 1:49 PM: aircraft N964WN, inbound WN 652 from PHX (airborne), -6 min to turn
    TightestWN 1329 to DEN at 2:11 PM: aircraft N8513F, inbound WN 2939 from SMF (airborne), 8 min to turn
    TightestWS 1483 to YYC at 2:32 PM: aircraft CGJLZ, inbound WS 1482 from YYC (not departed), 12 min to turn
    TightestQX 2241 to LAS at 1:47 PM: aircraft N659QX, inbound QX 2413 from RNO (landed), 19 min to turn
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-26 20:35 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules
    Provenanceinbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Tue Oct 27, 3:57 AM PDT: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.