tailodds FORECAST
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Observed Significant Resolved Delay HOU departures

Hobby departure delays ease: 42% late in the last hour, still above normal

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
3
Create monitor View HOUFlights at HOU

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Hobby departures running late: 67% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 18 departures that took off between 3:16 PM and 4:16 PM CDT, 12 left at least 15 minutes late. Hobby typically sees 35% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window3:16 PM–4:16 PM CDT
    Sample18 flights, 12 late (67%)
    Comparison35% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour
    Median delay36.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-26 21:16 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    Hobby departure delays worsen: 81% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 67% → 81%

    Of 16 departures that took off between 3:36 PM and 4:36 PM CDT, 13 left at least 15 minutes late. Hobby typically sees 33% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 4 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window3:36 PM–4:36 PM CDT
    Sample16 flights, 13 late (81%)
    Comparison33% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 4 PM hour
    Median delay39.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-26 21:36 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. De-escalation Observed

    Hobby departure delays ease: 42% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 81% → 42%

    Of 19 departures that took off between 10:28 PM and 11:28 PM CDT, 8 left at least 15 minutes late. Hobby typically sees 45% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window10:28 PM–11:28 PM CDT
    Sample19 flights, 8 late (42%)
    Comparison45% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 PM hour
    Median delay4.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-27 04:28 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Tue Oct 27, 5:30 AM CDT: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.