tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 221 h staleForecast cycle 1 hLightning 221 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 7 minFAA flight data 7 min

FAA NAS status is stale (221 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (221 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Significant Resolved Delay MSP arrivals

Minneapolis arrivals back near normal: 0% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved at 5:00 PM CDT
Started
Latest activity
Updates
2
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Minneapolis arrivals running late: 50% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 14 arrivals that landed between 2:24 PM and 3:24 PM CDT, 7 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window2:24 PM–3:24 PM CDT
    Sample14 flights, 7 late (50%)
    Comparison18% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay22.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-27 20:24 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Recovery Observed

    Minneapolis arrivals back near normal: 0% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 62% at worst → 0% now

    Of 27 arrivals that landed between 4:00 PM and 5:00 PM CDT, 0 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 32 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window4:00 PM–5:00 PM CDT
    Sample27 flights, 0 late (0%)
    Comparison18% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay-13.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-27 22:00 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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