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Observed Significant Resolved Delay SFO departures

SFO departures back near normal: 18% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved at 5:18 PM PST
Started
Latest activity
Updates
2
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    SFO departures running late: 59% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 22 departures that took off between 3:17 PM and 4:17 PM PST, 13 left at least 15 minutes late. SFO typically sees 35% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window3:17 PM–4:17 PM PST
    Sample22 flights, 13 late (59%)
    Comparison35% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour
    Median delay20.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-02 00:17 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Recovery Observed

    SFO departures back near normal: 18% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 59% at worst → 18% now

    Of 38 departures that took off between 4:18 PM and 5:18 PM PST, 7 left at least 15 minutes late. SFO typically sees 29% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 4 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 32 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window4:18 PM–5:18 PM PST
    Sample38 flights, 7 late (18%)
    Comparison29% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 4 PM hour
    Median delay-5.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-02 01:18 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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