SFO departures back near normal: 28% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 7:47 PM PST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 3
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
SFO departures running late: 69% left 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 16 departures that took off between 5:32 PM and 6:32 PM PST, 11 left at least 15 minutes late. SFO typically sees 24% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 5:32 PM–6:32 PM PST Sample 16 flights, 11 late (69%) Comparison 24% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour Median delay 35.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 02:32 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
SFO departure delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 69% → 50%
Of 24 departures that took off between 5:53 PM and 6:53 PM PST, 12 left at least 15 minutes late. SFO typically sees 24% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 5:53 PM–6:53 PM PST Sample 24 flights, 12 late (50%) Comparison 24% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour Median delay 16.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 02:53 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
SFO departures back near normal: 28% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 69% at worst → 28% now
Of 36 departures that took off between 6:47 PM and 7:47 PM PST, 10 left at least 15 minutes late. SFO typically sees 25% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 6:47 PM–7:47 PM PST Sample 36 flights, 10 late (28%) Comparison 25% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour Median delay 6.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 03:47 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?