tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 222 h staleForecast cycle 61 minLightning 222 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 6 minFAA flight data 5 min

FAA NAS status is stale (222 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (222 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Significant Resolved Delay JFK arrivals

JFK arrivals back near normal: 7% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved at 6:51 AM EST
Started
Latest activity
Updates
2
Create monitor View JFKFlights at JFK

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    JFK arrivals running late: 44% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 34 arrivals that landed between 7:40 PM and 8:40 PM EST, 15 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at JFK arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window7:40 PM–8:40 PM EST
    Sample34 flights, 15 late (44%)
    Comparison21% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay9.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-03 01:40 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Recovery Observed

    JFK arrivals back near normal: 7% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 55% at worst → 7% now

    Of 14 arrivals that landed between 5:51 AM and 6:51 AM EST, 1 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at JFK arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 30 minutes across 15 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window5:51 AM–6:51 AM EST
    Sample14 flights, 1 late (7%)
    Comparison21% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay-7.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-03 11:51 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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