tailodds FORECAST
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Observed Significant Resolved Delay SAN departures

San Diego departure delays ease: 61% late in the last hour, still above normal

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
2
Create monitor View SANFlights at SAN

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    San Diego departures running late: 79% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 14 departures that took off between 5:12 PM and 6:12 PM PST, 11 left at least 15 minutes late. San Diego typically sees 33% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window5:12 PM–6:12 PM PST
    Sample14 flights, 11 late (79%)
    Comparison33% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 PM hour
    Median delay23.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-05 02:12 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. De-escalation Observed

    San Diego departure delays ease: 61% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 79% → 61%

    Of 23 departures that took off between 6:58 PM and 7:58 PM PST, 14 left at least 15 minutes late. San Diego typically sees 38% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window6:58 PM–7:58 PM PST
    Sample23 flights, 14 late (61%)
    Comparison38% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour
    Median delay21.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-05 03:58 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Thu Nov 5, 5:03 AM PST: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.