Phoenix departures back near normal: 25% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 11:15 PM MST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 3
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
Phoenix departures running late: 69% left 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 13 departures that took off between 9:06 PM and 10:06 PM MST, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 34% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 9:06 PM–10:06 PM MST Sample 13 flights, 9 late (69%) Comparison 34% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour Median delay 30.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-07 05:06 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Phoenix departure delays ease: 54% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 69% → 54%
Of 13 departures that took off between 9:26 PM and 10:26 PM MST, 7 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 34% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 9:26 PM–10:26 PM MST Sample 13 flights, 7 late (54%) Comparison 34% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour Median delay 28.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-07 05:26 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
Phoenix departures back near normal: 25% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 69% at worst → 25% now
Of 20 departures that took off between 10:15 PM and 11:15 PM MST, 5 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 31% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 30 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 10:15 PM–11:15 PM MST Sample 20 flights, 5 late (25%) Comparison 31% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 PM hour Median delay -1.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-07 06:15 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?