Phoenix departures back near normal: 6% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 6:52 AM MST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
Phoenix departures running late: 59% left 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 37 departures that took off between 5:15 PM and 6:15 PM MST, 22 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 30% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 5:15 PM–6:15 PM MST Sample 37 flights, 22 late (59%) Comparison 30% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 PM hour Median delay 18.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-09 01:15 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
Phoenix departures back near normal: 6% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 68% at worst → 6% now
Of 17 departures that took off between 5:52 AM and 6:52 AM MST, 1 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 5% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 15% for 30 minutes across 15 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 5:52 AM–6:52 AM MST Sample 17 flights, 1 late (6%) Comparison 5% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour Median delay 1.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-09 13:52 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?