tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 221 h staleForecast cycle 1 hLightning 221 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 6 minFAA flight data 6 min

FAA NAS status is stale (221 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (221 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Significant Resolved Delay MIA arrivals

Miami arrivals back near normal: 7% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved at 6:51 AM EST
Started
Latest activity
Updates
4
Create monitor View MIAFlights at MIA

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Miami arrivals running late: 48% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 23 arrivals that landed between 7:17 PM and 8:17 PM EST, 11 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Miami arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window7:17 PM–8:17 PM EST
    Sample23 flights, 11 late (48%)
    Comparison22% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay8.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-09 01:17 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    Miami arrival delays worsen: 61% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 48% → 61%

    Of 18 arrivals that landed between 10:15 PM and 11:15 PM EST, 11 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Miami arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window10:15 PM–11:15 PM EST
    Sample18 flights, 11 late (61%)
    Comparison22% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay28.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-09 04:15 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. De-escalation Observed

    Miami arrival delays ease: 46% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 61% → 46%

    Of 13 arrivals that landed between 10:46 PM and 11:46 PM EST, 6 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Miami arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window10:46 PM–11:46 PM EST
    Sample13 flights, 6 late (46%)
    Comparison22% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay11.9 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-09 04:46 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  4. Recovery Observed

    Miami arrivals back near normal: 7% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 65% at worst → 7% now

    Of 15 arrivals that landed between 5:51 AM and 6:51 AM EST, 1 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Miami arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 32 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window5:51 AM–6:51 AM EST
    Sample15 flights, 1 late (7%)
    Comparison22% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay-9.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-09 11:51 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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