tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 221 h staleForecast cycle 83 minLightning 221 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 4 minFAA flight data 5 min

FAA NAS status is stale (221 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (221 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Significant Resolved Delay MSP departures

Minneapolis departures back near normal: 21% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved at 6:45 PM CST
Started
Latest activity
Updates
2
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Minneapolis departures running late: 60% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 15 departures that took off between 3:42 PM and 4:42 PM CST, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 28% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 4 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window3:42 PM–4:42 PM CST
    Sample15 flights, 9 late (60%)
    Comparison28% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 4 PM hour
    Median delay30.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-11 22:42 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Recovery Observed

    Minneapolis departures back near normal: 21% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 62% at worst → 21% now

    Of 29 departures that took off between 5:45 PM and 6:45 PM CST, 6 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 26% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window5:45 PM–6:45 PM CST
    Sample29 flights, 6 late (21%)
    Comparison26% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour
    Median delay-3.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-12 00:45 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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