tailodds FORECAST
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Observed Major Resolved Delay MCO arrivals

MCO arrival delays worsen: 63% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
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Updates
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Create monitor View MCOFlights at MCO

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    MCO arrivals running late: 56% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 27 arrivals that landed between 6:20 PM and 7:20 PM EST, 15 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 24% of arrivals at MCO arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window6:20 PM–7:20 PM EST
    Sample27 flights, 15 late (56%)
    Comparison24% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay18.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-13 00:20 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    MCO arrival delays worsen: 63% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 56% → 63%

    Of 19 arrivals that landed between 11:50 PM and 12:50 AM EST, 12 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 24% of arrivals at MCO arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window11:50 PM–12:50 AM EST
    Sample19 flights, 12 late (63%)
    Comparison24% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay22.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-13 05:50 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Fri Nov 13, 7:17 AM EST: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.