tailodds FORECAST
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Observed Significant Resolved Delay BWI arrivals

BWI arrival delays ease: 42% late in the last hour, still above normal

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
3
Create monitor View BWIFlights at BWI

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    BWI arrivals running late: 42% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 24 arrivals that landed between 6:36 PM and 7:36 PM EST, 10 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 19% of arrivals at BWI arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window6:36 PM–7:36 PM EST
    Sample24 flights, 10 late (42%)
    Comparison19% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay13.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-13 00:36 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    BWI arrival delays worsen: 71% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 42% → 71%

    Of 17 arrivals that landed between 9:32 PM and 10:32 PM EST, 12 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 19% of arrivals at BWI arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window9:32 PM–10:32 PM EST
    Sample17 flights, 12 late (71%)
    Comparison19% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay29.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-13 03:32 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. De-escalation Observed

    BWI arrival delays ease: 42% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 71% → 42%

    Of 12 arrivals that landed between 10:33 PM and 11:33 PM EST, 5 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 19% of arrivals at BWI arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window10:33 PM–11:33 PM EST
    Sample12 flights, 5 late (42%)
    Comparison19% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay1.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-13 04:33 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Fri Nov 13, 6:09 AM EST: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.